The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance is forecast to win 233 parliament seats of the 543 at stake,
NDA led by PM Narendra Modi will emerge as the largest group in the Lok Sabha polls in the next few months but will fall short of a majority required to rule, a new nationwide survey showed on Thursday.
The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance is forecast to win 233 parliament seats of the 543 at stake, the poll by ABP News-CVoter said, short of the half-way mark of 272.ABP said 22,309 voters were surveyed across all 543 seats of the lower house of parliament over Dec-Jan. Opinion polls have a mixed record in India where millions of people vote.
On Wednesday, another survey showed the BJP facing a rout in the most populous Uttar Pradesh state which sends the largest number of representatives to parliament and holds the key to which party forms a government.Thursday's poll also showed the BJP doing badly in Uttar Pradesh, slumping to just 25 seats of the 80 at stake. In 2014, the state propelled Modi to victory handing NDA 73 seats. SP-BSP alliance with its robust caste arithmetic is likely to hurt BJP in Uttar Pradesh. "In a nutshell a popular prime minister (Modi) is facing stiff challenge from a united opposition," ABP said summing up the results of its survey."Also, his popularity is facing headwinds due to depressed economic sentiment. A combination of the two may lead to domino effects of driving away the fence sitters and rallying the faithful of opposition," it said.
The ruling BJP will make up some of its losses with victories in the eastern states where its influence has been limited in the past, the poll said. Still it will be 39 seats short of the simple majority required to rule and will have to try to stitch alliances with regional parties. But some of these small groups are wary of aligning with Modi's group which is seen to have pursued a partisan Hindu-first agenda and raised disquiet among the country's 160 million Muslims.
The poll showed UPA getting 167 seats and the other parties getting 143. In that circumstance, the other parties may well hold key to the next government in the centre.
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