Narendra Modi will win both Varanasi and Vadodara. Kejriwal will come second in Varanasi. LK Advani will also romp home to victory from Gandhinagar. But Arun Jaitley's fate hangs in balance. So says the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll.
Among other bigwigs, ABP News-Nielsen exit poll predicts that Sonia Gandhi will retain the Gandhi bastion of Rai Bareli. As for Rahul Gandhi, he will push Smriti Irani to second place and Kumar Vishwas to third in Amethi. Samajwadi Party supremo Mulayam Singh Yadav will wrest the Azamgarh seat, says the poll. Mulayam will also win the Mainpuri seat.
Amritsar will go to Congress' Captain Amarinder Singh, and BJP's Arun Jaitley will have to return home to Delhi, and to the Rajya Sabha.
ABP News-Nielsen says Aam Aadmi Party's Ashish Khetan will win the New Delhi seat, beating sitting Congress MP Ajay Maken, who will be third behind the BJP's Meenakshi Lekhi. But in good news for BJP, the poll predicts that the Chandni Chowk will go to Dr Harsh Vardhan though it will be a close fight with AAP's Ashutosh. That means sitting MP Kapil Sibal of the Congress will be unseated.
In Saran, Rabri Devi is likely to win the seat vacated by RJD chief Lalu Yadav. According to the exit poll, BJP's Rajiv Pratap Rudy has given Rabri a good fight but his best won't be enough. In Madhepura, it's a close fight between RJD's Pappu Yadav and JDU's sitting MP Sharad Yadav.
According to the ABP News-Nielsen, Lalu's daughter Misa Bharti will win Patliputra against BJP's Ram Kirpal Yadav.
Congress MP Priya Dutt is likely to retain her Mumbai North Central seat, beating BJP's Poonam Mahajan. In Mumbai South, Arvind Sawant of the Shiv Sena is expected to topple incumbent Milind Deora of the Congress, throwing AAP's Meera Sanyal's chances out of the window, according to the poll. In Mumbai Northeast, BJP's Kirit Somaiya will win and AAP's Medha Patkar is predicted to come third.
In Nagpur, BJP's Nitin Gadkari will win and AAP's Anjali Damania will lose while NCP's Supriya Sule will retain the Baramati seat, says the poll. In Guna, Jaibhan Singh Pawaiya of the BJP is likely to win while sitting MP Jyotiraditya Madhavrao Scindia of the Congress is predicted to be the first runner-up, as per the ABP News-Nielsen exit poll. In Sivaganga in Tamil Nadu, Karti Chidambaram from Congress will lose to Senthilnathan of ADMK.
ABP News-Nielsen spoke to 13,715 respondents for the exit poll for 31 VIP Constituencies for the 2014 general election. The poll was conducted from April 8 to May 12 and the margin of error assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ± 5 per cent.