Analysts here believe that with the BJP going for general elections, they could not have carried the PDP along with them all over India.
No chief minister of Jammu and Kashmir has ever survived the rage of Jammu region — be the state's tallest leader Sheikh Muhammad Abdullah, who was dismissed and imprisoned after Jan Sangh-backed Praja Parishad launched agitation, his son Farooq Abdullah in 1984, following Congress raising tempers against him, or Congress' Ghulam Nabi Azad, who had to step down in 2008 following Amarnath row that led a face-off between Jammu and Kashmir Valley. Mehbooba Mufti became a latest victim of this regional discord, thanks to her insistence on the resignation of two BJP ministers, who had rallied behind the Hindu Ekta Manch, which was demanding a CBI inquiry into the rape and murder of an eight-year-old girl in Kathua district. Even though the BJP had asked both the ministers to resign from the cabinet, one of them Lal Singh was touring across Jammu region demanding removal of Mehbooba with the tacit support of BJP cadre.
Just a day after taking over as the chief minister after tying up with the BJP in March 2015, late Mufti Mohammad Sayeed in an interview to DNA said he could not have tied up with the Congress or the National Conference as they (BJP) had swept Jammu's Hindu belt. "Now the mandate is such, there is no way out. Political isolation of this (Jammu) region, which BJP has swept, would result in more serious consequences," he said.
His daughter, who took over after his demise, was thankful to BJP for ensuring peace in Jammu after an attack on a bus of Gujarat pilgrims, who were returning from Amarnath shrine cave. "It was because of our alliance partner BJP, who performed its duties very well. Our deputy chief minister and other people are camping in Jammu. To remind you, when my father Mufti Muhammad Sayeed entered into an alliance with the BJP, it was a well-thought-out step to bring 'the north pole and the south pole' together to empower both Jammu as well as Kashmir. This incident proved, he was right," she had told DNA in an interview last year in July soon after the attack. She was candid to admit, if BJP was not in power, situation in Jammu could have gone out of her hand.
Except that the alliance represented two politically variant regions in the government, none of the promises enshrined in the Agenda of Alliance that they had sewed up painstakingly was implemented. It talked about reviewing of Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA), return of lands occupied by security forces, getting back Dulhasti and Uri hydro power projects, securing a share in the profits of J&K based NHPC projects etc.
In fact the law and order situation deteriorated to the extend after the killing of Burhan Wani in July 2016 that over 800 political workers and politicians migrated from different parts of Kashmir to "safe houses" in Srinagar. According to SATP data, at least 30 SF personnel died in 16 incidents, including two suicide attacks on Army camps in 2017. More worryingly, stone-pelting by 'civilians' became a regular feature during encounters. Large scale 'public' presence during the last rites of many of the terrorists killed became norm.
Analysts here believe that with the BJP going for general elections, they could not have carried the PDP along with them all over India. The decision to pull out also indicates that Prime Minister Modi may advance the general elections.
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