Hillary Clinton's surprise victory in New Hampshire has stunned political pundits and pollsters who scrambled to explain why their prediction had gone wrong.
NEW YORK: Hillary Clinton's surprise victory in New Hampshire has stunned political pundits and pollsters who scrambled on Wednesday to explain why their prediction had gone wrong.
For Clinton, victory was very important because of the assessment should Barak Obama win the second state too after Iowa, he might be unstoppable even though the major states are yet to hold primaries. But the smaller primaries early generally become the trend setters.
Her victory was portrayed by her campaign as a stunning turnabout and the New York Times said given how dire her situation had appeared just hours earlier, the spin was not unjustified.
The analysts had projected that her main rival Barak Obama has 10 point lead over her and is poised to win the election. But as the result started coming Tuesday night, analysts started explaining that women were a crucial factor in Clinton rebounding from third position in Iowa to win the Democratic primary.
Though she won only narrowly with 39 per cent votes against Obama's 36 per cent, the victory immediately energized her campaign and she looked much more relaxed than she had during the last few days as she campaigned.
After analysts said that Obama victory in Iowa was strongly backed by young people, the Clinton campaign changed the strategy to rope them in. During her victory speech, she mentioned young people several times and congratulated them for voting with head and heart.
The analysts were also debating the role of former President Bill Clinton who, CNN noted, had spent Tuesday in Hanover home to Dartmouth College where Obama was expected to win by a handsome margin.
"They dispatched him to the area that Obama was surging," said CNN analyst Donna Brazille, who managed former Vice President Al Gore's campaign in 2000.
"I think it had the effect of tamping down Obama support and giving Senator Clinton a real reason to come back in this race."
Though Clinton had established an early lead of around 3000 votes which she maintained throughout as the results came in, television networks did not projected her as a winner as they waited results from colleges towns which were among the last to come in.
Analysts said that the young people had voted in strength and that could help Obama. But the result did not make much difference as apparently the support for Obama was not as strong as predicted.
Young men and women were in forefront when Clinton gave her victory speech with her daughter by her side and Bill Clinton out of the camera range.
"Last week, I listened to you, and in the process I found my own voice," she began her address. "Now let's give America the kind of comeback that New Hampshire has just given me."
CNN reported that 43 per cent of self-styled independents said they voted for Obama, and 31 per cent said they backed Clinton. Independents made up 43 percent of all voters polled.
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