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Monsoon arrives in Kerala on May 30

But early rainfall in the state not suggestive of a larger pattern

Rajesh Sinha

Updated : Nov 19, 2013, 11:17 PM IST

NEW DELHI: The southwest monsoon will hit the Kerala coast on May 30, two days before the normal date, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday.

But the premature onset of the monsoon in Kerala is no harbinger of an early monsoon in the rest of the country, the IMD said.

The forecast is based on an indigenously developed technique that has an error margin of three days. Last year, the monsoon arrived in Kerala on June 5, two days before the date forecast by IMD.

The southwest monsoon, after arriving in Kerala, gradually moves north along the western coast, and northwest across central India, and covers the entire country by July 15.

It strikes Mumbai by June 10 and Delhi by June 29.

It is unusual for the monsoon to strike Kerala in May. In the past 50 years, the earliest onset of the monsoon in Kerala was in 1960 (May 14) and the most delayed in 1972 (June 18).

In its yearly forecast released earlier, the IMD had said that the monsoon this year would be 93 per cent of the long-term average recorded in the last century.

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