BJP to win comfortably if exit polls are correct.
What was predicted to be a real keen contest between BJP and Congress in Gujarat, may actually have ended up as a virtual rerun of 2012, if the exit polls are to be believed.
Most of the polls predict BJP winning around 110 seats, touch short of 115 it won in the last assembly polls. Today's Chanakya though has predicted a two-third mandate for BJP predicting that the party will win 135 seats.
Here's what the exit polls of the major agencies predicted:
| Agency |
BJP |
Congress |
Others |
| Today's Chanakya |
135 |
47 |
0 |
| Times Now-VMR |
113 |
66 |
3 |
| ABP-CSDS |
117 |
64 |
1 |
| NewsX |
110-120 |
65-75 |
2-4 |
| Sahara Samay-CNX |
110-120 |
65-75 |
|
| C Voter |
108 |
74 |
|
| News Nation |
124-128 |
52-56 |
1-3 |
| India Today-Axis |
99-113 |
68-82 |
1-4 |
So all 8 exit polls predict a clear win for BJP, though most predict Congress to do better in terms of vote share than 2012. But their seats aren't really increasing and that would be a major cause of concern for Congress President-elect Rahul Gandhi if these results turn out to be correct. Today's Chanakya has the most lavish prediction for BJP and expect them to win 135.
The Axis survey actually shows BJP trailing Congress in Saurashtra and North Gujarat. They also have the most conservative estimate for BJP, with lower range of 99. The election result will be published on 18th Gujarat, and we will know soon if the polls got it right.
Gujarat recorded an estimated 68.70 per cent voter turnout in the second and final phase of polling for 93 Assembly seats today, the Election Commission said. The figure is likely to go up as details are still being worked out, Senior Deputy Election Commissioner Umesh Sinha told reporters here. The 93 seats are spread across north and central Gujarat.
Around 2.22 crore people were eligible to exercise their franchise to choose their representatives from among 851 candidates in the fray.
With PTI inputs
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