Exit polls: Tejashwi Yadav or Nitish Kumar, who will conquer Bihar?

Voting for the third and final phase has finished. Exit polls related to Bihar assembly elections have started coming in; you can see all the reports of exit poll Bihar 2020 conducted by various survey agencies. Not only this, but you can also see the Poll of Polls here on DNAIndia.com. In the exit poll news, you can know the conclusion after comparing all exit polls.

Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicts big win for Tejshwi Yadav-led Mahagathbandhan. It predicts 69-91 for NDA, 139-161 for MGB and 3-5 for LJP.

Today’s Chanakya predicts that the BJP-JDU got 34 per cent of the total votes polled, while the RJD-Congress received 44 per cent. Other parties, including Chirag Paswan’s LJP, received 22 per cent.

Times Now-C-Voter exit polls predicted a hung house in the 2020 Bihar Assembly Elections. It gives 120 seats to the Grand Alliance and 116 to NDA.

According to the Republic Jan Ki Baat Exit Polls, RJD-Congress-Left 'Mahagathbandhan is seen to be trumping the JDU-BJP-HAM-VIP (NDA) alliance. The Mahagathbandhan is seen to be winning anything between 118 and 138 seats, while NDA looks to get 91 to 117 seats. LJP to get 5-8 seats while Others to get 3-6 seats. With RJD set to be the single-largest party, the Mahagathbandhan is projected to win 40-43% of the votes, while NDA is projected to win 37-39% of the votes. 

According to ABP News-CVoter, Bihar is set to witness a hung Assembly or would be a cliffhanger. According to the survey, in the 243 Assembly seats, NDA is expected to get 104-128 seats, Grand Alliance to get 108-131 seats, Chirag Paswan's LJP expected to get 1-3 seats and Others to get 4-8. 

RJD is predicted to emerge as the single largest party, while the NDA is likely to get 2 per cent more votes.

Through the Bihar election exit poll, you can guess who Bihar's people have trusted this time. However, to make it clear that exit polls will be correct, it is not true. Sometimes exit polls are correct, and sometimes they are proved wrong. Hence DNAIndia.com appeals to its readers to consider the exit poll as only an estimate. Only after counting of votes on November 10 will the final result of the Bihar election. 

First major election during COVID-19

Political parties left no stone unturned to woo the state's voters. The dates for the Bihar Assembly elections 2020 were announced on September 25 by the Election Commission of India (ECI). 

The polls to elect a new 243-member assembly were held in 3 phases, keeping in mind the COVID-19 guidelines and social distancing norms. In the first phase, 71 assembly constituencies went to polls. 

94 assembly seats went to polls in the second phase, while in the third and final one 78 seats went to polls. The counting of votes will be on November 10. 

The term of the Bihar Assembly comes to an end on November 29.

According to the poll panel, there were 7.29 crore voters in the state, including 3.85 crore male and 3.4 crore female voters and 1.6 lakh service voters.

These were the first election held since the COVID-19 pandemic and the EC had taken additional measures to ensure that the polls are conducted while following the COVID-19 guidelines.

Here is the list of constituencies that went to polls in all three phases.

Phase 1: Bihar Assembly Elections 2020:

Date of notification: October 1

Last date of nomination: Oct 8

Scrutiny of nomination: Oct 9

Last date to withdraw nomination: Oct 12

Date of polling: Oct 28

Counting date: Nov 10

Phase 2: Bihar Assembly Elections 2020:

Date of notification: October 9

Last date of nomination: Oct 16

Scrutiny of nomination: Oct 17

Last date to withdraw nomination: Oct 19

Date of polling: Nov 3

Counting date: Nov 10

Phase 3: Bihar Assembly Elections 2020:

Date of notification: October 13

Last date of nomination: Oct 20

Scrutiny of nomination: Oct 21

Last date to withdraw nomination: Oct 23

Date of polling: Nov 7

Counting date: Nov 10

List of Bihar Assembly Constituencies

Phase-I (71 ACs)

1.155-Kahalgaon; 2.157-Sultanganj; 3.159-Amarpur; 4.160-Dhoraiya (SC); 5.161-Banka; 6.162-Katoria (ST); 7.163-Belhar; 8.164-Tarapur; 9.165-Munger; 10.166-Jamalpur; 11.167-Suryagarha; 12.168-Lakhisarai; 13.169-Sheikhpura; 14.170-Barbigha; 15.178-Mokama; 16.179-Barh; 17.189-Masaurhi (SC); 18.190-Paligan; j19.191-Bikram; 20.192-Sandesh; 21.193-Barhara; 22.194-Arrah; 23.195-Agiaon (SC); 24.196-Tarari; 25.197-Jagdishpur; 26.198-Shahpur; 27.199-Brahampur; 28.200-Buxar; 29.201-Dumraon; 30.202-Rajpur (SC); 31.203-Ramgarh; 32.204-Mohania (SC); 33.205-Bhabua; 34.206-Chainpur; 35.207-Chenari(SC); 36.208-Sasaram; 37.209-Kargahar; 38.210-Dinara; 39.211-Nokha; 40.212-Dehri; 41.213-Karakat; 42.214-Arwal; 43.215-Kurtha; 44.216-Jehanabad; 45.217-Ghosi; 46.218-Makhdumpur (SC); 47.219-Goh; 48.220-Obra; 49.221-Nabinagar; 50.222-Kutumba (SC); 51.223-Aurangabad; 52.224-Rafiganj; 53.225-Gurua; 54.226-Sherghati; 55.227-Imamganj (SC); 56.228-Barachatti (SC); 57.229-Bodh Gaya (SC); 58.230-Gaya Town; 59.231-Tikari; 60.232-Belaganj; 61.233-Atri; 62.234-Wazirganj; 63.235-Rajauli (SC); 64.236-Hisua; 65.237-Nawada; 66.238-Gobindpur; 67.239-Warsaliganj; 68.240-Sikandra (SC); 69.241-Jamui; 70.242-Jhajha; 71.243-Chakai. 

Phase-II (94 ACs)

1.6-Nautan; 2.7-Chanpatia; 3.8-Bettiah; 4.13-Harsidhi (SC); 5.14-Govindganj; 6.15-Kesaria; 7.16-Kalyanpur; 8.17-Pipra; 9.18-Madhuban; 10.22-Sheohar; 11.28-Sitamarhi; 12.29-Runnisaidpur; 13.30-Belsand; 14.36-Madhubani; 15.37-Rajnagar (SC); 16.38-Jhanjharpur; 17.39-Phulparas; 18.78-Kusheshwar Asthan (SC); 19.79-Gaura Bauram; 20.80-Benipur; 21.81-Alinagar; 22.82-Darbhanga Rural; 23.90-Minapur; 24.95-Kanti; 25.96-Baruraj; 26.97-Paroo; 27.98-Sahebganj; 28.99-Baikunthpur; 29.100-Barauli; 30.101-Gopalganj; 31.102-Kuchaikote; 32.103-Bhore (SC); 33.104-Hathua; 34.105-Siwan; 35.106-Ziradei; 36.107-Darauli (SC); 37.108-Raghunathpur; 38.109-Daraunda; 39.110-Barharia; 40.111-Goriakothi; 41.112-Maharajganj; 42.113-Ekma; 43.114-Manjhi; 44.115-Baniapur; 45.116-Taraiya; 46.117-Marhaura; 47.118-Chapra; 48.119-Garkha (SC); 49.120-Amnour; 50.121-Parsa; 51.122-Sonepur; 52.123-Hajipur; 53.124-Lalganj; 54.125-Vaishali; 55.127-Raja Pakar (SC); 56.128-Raghopur; 57.129-Mahnar; 58.134-Ujiarpur; 59.137-Mohiuddinnagar; 60.138-Bibhutipur; 61.139-Rosera (SC); 62.140-Hasanpur; 63.141-Cheria-Bariarpur; 64.142-Bachhwara; 65.143-Teghra; 66.144-Matihani; 67.145-Sahebpur Kamal; 68.146-Begusarai; 69.147-Bakhri (SC); 70.148-Alauli (SC); 71.149-Khagaria; 72.150-Beldaur; 73.151-Parbatta; 74.152-Bihpur; 75.153-Gopalpur; 76.154-Pirpainti (SC); 77.156-Bhagalpur78.158-Nathnagar79.171-Asthawan80.172-Biharsharif81.173-Rajgir (SC)82.174-Islampur83.175-Hilsa84.176-Nalanda; 85.177-Harnaut; 86.180-Bakhtiarpur; 87.181-Digha; 88.182-Bankipur; 89.183-Kumhrar; 90.184-Patna Sahib; 91.185-Fatuha; 92.186-Danapur; 93.187-Maner; 94.188-Phulwari (SC). 

Phase-III (78 ACs)
1.1-Valmiki Nagar; 2.2-Ramnagar (SC); 3.3-Narkatiaganj; 4.4-Bagaha; 5.5-Lauriya; 6.9-Sikta; 7.10-Raxaul; 8.11-Sugauli; 9.12-Narkatia; 10.19-Motihari; 11.20-Chiraia; 12.21-Dhaka; 13.23-Riga; 14.24-Bathnaha (SC); 15.25-Parihar; 16.26-Sursand; 17.27-Bajpatti; 18.31-Harlakhi; 19.32-Benipatti; 20.33-Khajauli; 21.34-Babubarhi; 22.35-Bisfi; 23.40-Laukaha; 24.41-Nirmali; 25.42-Pipra; 26.43-Supaul; 27.44-Triveniganj (SC); 28.45-Chhatapur; 29.46-Narpatganj; 30.47-Raniganj (SC); 31.48-Forbesganj; 32.49-Araria; 33.50-Jokihat; 34.51-Sikti; 35.52-Bahadurganj; 36.53-Thakurganj; 37.54-Kishanganj; 38.55-Kochadhaman; 39.56-Amour; 40.57-Baisi; 41.58-Kasba; 42.59-Banmankhi (SC); 43.60-Rupauli; 44.61-Dhamdaha; 45.62-Purnia; 46.63-Katihar; 47.64-Kadwa; 48.65-Balrampur; 49.66-Pranpur; 50.67-Manihari (ST); 51.68-Barari; 52.69-Korha (SC); 53.70-Alamnagar; 54.71-Bihariganj; 55.72-Singheshwar (SC); 56.73-Madhepura; 57.74-Sonbarsha (SC); 58.75-Saharsa; 59.76-Simri Bakhtiarpur; 60.77-Mahishi; 61.83-Darbhanga; 62.84-Hayaghat; 63.85-Bahadurpur; 64.86-Keoti; 65.87-Jale; 66.88-Gaighat; 67.89-Aurai; 68.91-Bochahan (SC); 69.92-Sakra (SC); 70.93-Kurhani; 71.94-Muzaffarpur; 72.126-Mahua; 73.130-Patepur (SC); 74.131-Kalyanpur (SC); 75.132-Warisnagar; 76.133-Samastipur; 77.135-Morwa; 78.136-Sarairanjan.