INDIA
Big win for Congress.
In what is being billed as the semi-finals ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, all eyes are on the states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh where counting is being held for 519 assembly constituencies today. Early trends suggest that it could be 3-0 for these states for the Congress.
Votes are also being counted for Telangana and Mizoram. In Telangana, the incumbent Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS). In the 108 of the 119 seats for which leads are available, TRS is ahead in 89, Congress in 12 seats, BJP in 4 and others are 3.
The North Eastern state of Mizoram is the only state which isn’t sending good news to the Congress — the Mizo National Front (MNF) are ahead in 22 out of 40 seats. Congress is leading in 10 seats.
Early trends have proved pollsters correct by-and-large in Rajasthan. Exit polls had predicted the Vasundhara Raje-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government in Rajasthan will be voted out. The state has seen a trend of an upheaval every five years where the state government is voted out. The BJP says this is not a reflection on Prime Minister Narendra Modi or his government’s policies. In trends available after two hours of counting, Congress is ahead on100 seats, BJP on 80, BSP-3 and others are ahead in 7 seats in 199 out of 200 seats for which voting is taking place.
.Elections to Ramgarh in Alwar district will be held later after the BSP candidate died. The state’s top leaders are leading after the initial round of counting —Vasundhara Raje from Jhalawar Patan, Sachin Pilot from Tonk and Ashok Ghelot from Sardarpura in Jodhpur.
It looks to be an absolute cliff-hanger in Madhya Pradesh. BJP is ahead in 110 seats and Congress in 107- with 13 seats yet to report. Madhya Pradesh has 230 seats in the Vidhan Sabha — and if the BJP wins, Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chauhan is looking to be elected for an unprecedented fourth term. Pollsters were divided on Madhya Pradesh and had predicted a neck to neck battle and it seems anti-incumbency here has influenced voters to look for options.
The Congress has its neck comfortably ahead also in Chhattisgarh where voting was held in two phases on November 2 and 20. Of the 84 seats for which leads are available, Congress is ahead in 52 seats whereas the BJP in 26. If these trends hold, the ‘chawal-wale baba’ - a popular epithet for Chief Minister Raman Singh — will not make a comeback for a fourth term.
If these early trends are any indicator, the Congress has made a big comeback - and the Prime Minister’s dream of a ‘Congress-Mukt Bharat’ is a pipe dream. However, to draw parallels to 2019 Lok Sabha polls make be premature. It may be poignant to remember that these states were won by the BJP in 2003 and 2008 — but that wasn’t reflected in the results of 2004 and 2009 Lok Sabha polls where the Congress-led UPA was voted into power.
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