Exit Polls 2019: What are exit polls and how reliable are they for Lok Sabha Election 2019?
Do exit polls work?
The voting for 2019 Lok Sabha Elections will come to an end on Sunday at 6 PM following which news channels will be allowed to do what they love most – broadcast exit polls. However, all exit polls need to carry the standard statutory warning – this might not reflect reality. In 2004, the exit polls though BJP-led NDA would return post the India Shining campaign and we all remember how hat turned out.
In 2009, the exit polls did predict a UPA win but failed to catch the swing in Congress’s favour, with the grand old party ending up with 61 more seats than it did in 2004.
Exit polls are exactly how they sound – people walking out of polling booths are asked how they've voted. That data is then added up to compute a party's possible vote share and from which a party's possible seat share is extrapolated.