Pune; Though there are signs of early arrival of South West monsoon in south Andaman, the further advancement of monsoon to Kerala coast is likely to be delayed.
While the monsoon usually hits Kerala coast on June 1, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that monsoon is expected to arrive in Kerala on June 5.
As a result, its arrival to Pune is likely to be delayed further. After hitting Kerala, the monsoon takes usually a week’s time and around June 7, it sets in and around Pune.
While the citizens of Pune enjoyed the intermittent and sudden pre-monsoon showers, they might have to wait longer for the actual monsoon rains.
Medha Khole, deputy director general (Weather Forecasting) of IMD said, “The southwest monsoon first enters Kerala and then the rest of the country. It might take some more days for the monsoon to reach Pune. The normal date for monsoon’s start is June 7. We will keep on updating with this year’s forecast as soon as the monsoon hits Kerala.”
According to the IMD, there is an increase in rainfall activity in the Bay of Bengal area because of the strengthening and deepening of low-level cross equatorial monsoon flow. “The cross equatorial flow has led to early monsoon activities in the Andaman Sea region,” said the officials.
Using the statistical model to observe six predictors which effect the monsoon activities, IMD has issued a forecast of this year’s monsoon. “The monsoon is likely to pass over Kerala on June 5 this year which is late if compared with the previous nine years’ data. Also, the date of passing of monsoon over Andaman sea and the date of monsoon entering Kerala will help in the complete prediction of rainy season of every part of the country,” the officials added.