Though the India Meteorological Department (IMD) experts have predicted below normal monsoon due to the El Nino effect in this season, there is a news to rejoice. IMD has predicted that the conditions for the advancement of South west monsoon are favourable and it will be hitting Andamans much earlier than expected.
The southwest monsoon begins its journey from southern parts of the country. Usually during the last week of May, the monsoon hits the Bay of Bengal and parts of Andamans and from there it makes advancement into the southern India.
In the last month only, IMD officials had came up with the long range forecast on southwest monsoon in which they have predicted below normal rainfall for the monsoon from June till September and said that the El Nino will have its effect on the rainfall.
However, looking at the present advancement of the southwest monsoon, the signs are encouraging. Speaking to dna, Medha Khole, deputy director general (weather forecasting) of IMD said, "Looking at the present weather conditions, there are favourable condition for the advancement of monsoon. Usually, the monsoon hits South Andamans and Bay of Bengal around May 20, but looking at present conditions, the monsoon is likely to arrive at these places by May 17."IMD officials have been keeping close watch on the advancement of the monsoon from May 10.
An official of IMD said, "While measuring the advancement of monsoon, we have to monitor various climatic conditions such as direction of the wind and its speed. The size of clouds and their height, intermittent rains. Based on these observations, advancement of monsoon is predicted."