Though there is no official word from the government about involvement of either ISI or Pakistan based terrorist groups, the timing of the serial blasts coincide with Indo-Pak peace process and forthcoming foreign minister level talks between the two countries, scheduled for July 26 this month.
The timing of the blasts also seems to be similar to the November 2008 blasts when the composite dialogue process between India and Pakistan was on. In 2008, it was the bombing of the Indian Embassy in Kabul and then the Mumbai attacks that finally halted all talks.
Significantly, this month India will also be hosting US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton who will be here on July 19 for the second edition of the Indo-US Strategic Dialogue.
Experts are divided on how, if ISI’s complicity or involvement of Pakistan based groups is established, it would impact the Indo-Pak peace process that started gathered momentum in Feb last year during Indo-Pak foreign secretary-level talks.
“These blasts call into question government of India’s engagement with Pakistan. At a time when US and rest of the world is looking at Pakistan with suspicion, India appears to be out on a limb even before the blasts. After the blasts, I think it will be difficult for India to pretend proceeding with the talks,” said security expert, Brahma Chellaney.
Director of naval think-tank National Maritime Foundation, Commodore (retd) C Uday Bhaskar, said the Indo-Pak peace process has developed some resistance to such incidents, but public pressure on the government and the political establishment would be very high.“We should not be jumping to any conclusions in blaming any country or group.”