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Home prices hit roof, but affordability near its best: HDFC

A sharper increase in the income levels, as compared to the housing prices, has brought down the affordability ratio to 4.4, the lowest in more than a decade since 4.3 in the year 2004 which remains the all-time low score.

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Housing prices have risen to record high levels, but increase in disposable income of the homebuyers has made the purchase of a house most affordable in over a decade, according to mortgage giant HDFC Ltd.

The average property value of housing units has appreciated to an all-time high of over Rs 52 lakh, while the annual income of the homebuyer has grown to near Rs 12 lakh, also a record high level, shows the data compiled by HDFC.

A sharper increase in the income levels, as compared to the housing prices, has brought down the affordability ratio to 4.4, the lowest in more than a decade since 4.3 in the year 2004 which remains the all-time low score.

A lower ratio means it has become more affordable to purchase the house.

The affordability ratio equals the average property price divided by the annual income and determines how affordable a housing unit is for a homebuyer as per his or her income.

In its latest annual update on the mortgage market in India, HDFC said the improved affordability has largely been driven by the rising disposable income, tax incentives and affordable interest rates.

HDFC's Managing Director Renu Sud Karnad said the increased tax incentive limits on housing loans and for the personal taxes have helped boost the demand for housing loans, while property prices have also stabilised.

The increase in double-income-no-kids (DINK) population have also helped increase the disposable income, which has made purchase of house more affordable, Karnad told PTI.

"The end user demand is reflected in our loan book, while the absence of investors has also helped the property prices to remain stable," she added.

HDFC, the country's largest mortgage lender with total assets of about Rs 2,54,000 crore, has a loan book of about Rs 2.5 lakh crore that grew by 23% last fiscal. Its average home loan size has also grown to Rs 23.3 lakh, while its loan to value stands at 66%. It has financed over 4.9 million homes in the last three and a half decades.

The HDFC data also shows that the tax incentives have lowered the effective rates on mortgages to below 4%, while the same was more than double at 8-12% in the early years of the current century.

The home finance major further said that the mortgage penetration is the lowest in India at just 9% of the GDP, in comparison to many other major countries, which implies significant room for growth.

Globally, the penetration level is highest in Denmark at  94%, while the same in the UK is 81% and in the US at 52%. China has mortgage penetration of 18% of the GDP, the double the level in India.

As per HDFC, the actual home loan rate currently stands between 9-10%, but the effective rate works out to be 3.8% after taking into account various tax incentives.

In last year's budget, tax exemption limits on principal and interest component of a housing loan were raised by Rs 50,000 each, to Rs 1,50,000 and Rs 2,00,000 respectively.

As per the HDFC data, the average property value has consistently risen in the last seven years, while almost doubling from about Rs 30 lakh in the year 2009.

In 2004, when the affordability ratio was at its lowest, the average property value was about Rs 15 lakh and the annual income of the average homebuyer stood at less than Rs 4 lakh.

The affordability ratio was highest at 22 times in 1995, as the property value averaged at over Rs 25 lakh and the average annual income was just about Rs one lakh. 

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