Watch: Skymet predicts below average rainfall in 2017 in India

 Looks like summer will be yet more unbearable this year, at least the present weather condition makes us believe so. Establishing this belief, Skymet Weather too has recently stated that monsoon, in 2017, is likely to remain below normal. It is predicted to be at 95 % (with an error margin of +/-five %) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.

The report further says that monsoon probabilities for JJAS are:

- Zero % chance of excess (seasonal rainfall that is more than 110 % of LPA),

- 10 % chance of above normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 105 to 110 % of LPA),

- 50 % chance of normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 96 to 104 % of LPA),

- 25 % chance of below normal (seasonal rainfall that is between 90 to 95 % of LPA),

- 15 % chance of drought (seasonal rainfall that is less than 90 % of LPA).

On a monthly scale, the precipitation foreshadow is as follows:

June ' 102 % of LPA (LPA for June = 164 mm)-

- 70 % chance of normal,
- 20 % chance of above normal,
- 10 % chance of below normal.

July ' 94 % of LPA (LPA for July= 289 mm)-

- 60 % chance of normal,

- 10 % chance of above normal,

- 30 % chance of below normal.

August ' 93 % of LPA (LPA for August = 261 mm)-

- 60 % chance of normal,

- 10 % chance of above normal,

- 30 % chance of below normal.

September ' 96 % of LPA (LPA for September = 173 mm)

- 50 % chance of normal,

- 20 % chance of above normal,

- 30 % chance of below normal. 

Watch the video below: