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New China doctrine leaves strategic affairs experts worried

Ex-foreign secy Shyam Saran says Delhi likely to face more complex challenges

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PM Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the SCO Summit in Astana on June 27, 2017
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The recently concluded 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has raised concerns among strategic affairs experts, particularly the decision by that nation to take a great leap forward in strategic ability to modernise its defence forces by 2035 and to reach out to new dominions. However, they agree that India is among the few developing that have pushed back against China.

Former foreign secretary Shyam Saran, however, expressed optimism in the elevation of Yang Jiechi, who is a state councillor and special representative of India-China Border Dispute Talk Mechanism, to the powerful seven-member Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC). Yang is believed to have played a significant role in the peaceful resolution of the 73-day Doklam face-off.

Although China's political processes are often highly opaque, Saran said Yang's elevation could mean China was adding diplomatic heft in pursuit of seeking the role of a global leader. He also said that the Congress highlighted that a separation of powers between the Communist Party and the government that has been practised for years has ended and they have again become conjoined.

"Even the public sector enterprises have been told to include party members on their board. Foreign investors are apprehending that rule may apply to joint ventures as well,"" he added.

He agreed that India will face more complex Chinese challenge in times to come than in recent past. "We will be bumping up more in overlapping peripheries," he said.

Veteran diplomat Vijay K. Nambiar, who till recently served as the UN Secretary General's Special Advisor on Myanmar, said there was opportunity as well for both countries to look at a realistic solution to their boundary question.

Commenting on China's military reforms, Lt. Gen. SL Narasimhan, Member, National Security Advisory Board (NSAB), said the doctrinal change of seeking to reach out to new domains was a source of concern.

China's decision to modernise its armed forces and reach out to new regions has become a matter of concerns in Delhi, with experts worried about its implications

India is likely to face a more complex China in the years ahead, given the collapsing of walls between the government and the Communist Party

The presence of strong leaders in both nations, however, could be a benefit as it could help lower suspicions and psychological hang-ups.

CONCERNED

  • China’s decision to modernise its armed forces and reach out to new regions has become a matter of concerns in Delhi
     
  • India is likely to face a more complex China in the years ahead, given the collapsing of walls between the government and the Communist Party
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