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Sunday, November 22, 2009

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Arjun Parthasarathy
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Reaction to CRR hike will set the tone

The Reserve Bank of India’s move on April 17 to hike cash reserve ratio by 50bps will suck out around Rs 18,500 crore of liquidity from the system
April 21, 2008

Bond yields are likely to rise further

Supply of government paper hit the market in full force last week and the market found no place to hide.
April 14, 2008

Bond market likely to see a relief rally

Bond yields were under pressure last week with oil prices touching new highs and higher-than-expected domestic inflation for the third straight week.
March 17, 2008

Bond mart shouldn’t press for rate cut

In hindsight, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has done the right thing by keeping interest rates status quo in its January 2008 policy review.
March 14, 2008

Outlook uncertain as oil, inflation rise

Bond yields rose across the curve as global oil prices surged and domestic inflation numbers came in higher than expected.
March 10, 2008

Lower govt borrowing saves the day

The bond market threatened to test the lows on budget day as oil prices trended higher on a weakening dollar, with Nymex crude futures trading over $102/bbl.
March 3, 2008

Budget blues for bond market likely

Bond yields rose 18bps week on week with the 10-year benchmark bond closing last week at 7.69% levels from 7.51% levels seen in the week earlier to last.
February 25, 2008

Gilt yields unlikely to take a knock

The government bond market fell following comments by the oil ministry that “oil bonds may receive SLR (statutory liquidity ratio) status”.
February 18, 2008

Yield curve likely to remain flat

The bond markets shrugged off RBI’s neutral stance on interest rates and rallied last week on global recessionary trends.
February 11, 2008

RBI auction cut-offs hold the key

The bond markets had expected the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to cut benchmark interest rates at its policy review on January 29, 2008.
February 4, 2008

Yields will rebound if there’s no cut

Till the US Federal Reserve made its unscheduled 75bps rate cut on Tuesday last, the local bond market was not factoring in a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India.
January 28, 2008

Liquidity worries unlikely this week

The 10- and 30-year bonds rallied week on week by 13bps and 18bps respectively and the ten over thirty spread flattened by 5bps to close the week at around 30bps.
January 14, 2008

FM’s rate-cut talk will buoy bonds

The bond market received two major news on Friday last, which lifted up sentiments and can potentially lead to a healthy rally in prices this week.
January 7, 2008
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Analysis
  • Why a CRR+SLR hike will be in order
  • Short end of the curve comes under pressure
Reports
  • Yields to stabilise higher with a positive bias
  • Sentiment turning positive on demand
  • Needed: More investors for gilts
  • Govt borrowing negates RBI rate cuts
  • Gilts give best returns to date

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