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Sunday, November 22, 2009

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Arjun Parthasarathy
Syndicate
this column

RBI policy review likely to be non-event

The market is not expecting any policy actions by the RBI in the policy review scheduled on July 28, 2009.
July 27, 2009

Borrowing calendar a boon for yields

The revised government bond borrowing calendar for the weeks leading to end-September is better than market expectations, with a gross borrowing of Rs 1.1 lakh crore.
July 20, 2009

Lower govt borrowing to spur yield rally

This week’s auction is down to Rs 12,000 cr from Rs 15,000 cr.
July 13, 2009

Yields to adjust higher; New calendar for Bond St

Bond markets will now readjust to the new borrowing calendar. The immediate trend for bond yields is higher given the higher than expected supply.
July 7, 2009

Rally may stall if government ups borrowing

Centre is slated to borrow Rs 97,000 cr in July-Sept; The FM is likely to show an additional borrowing of Rs 50,000 cr on Monday.
July 6, 2009

Green shoots emerging for yields

These are in the form of expectations of a manageable fiscal deficit for 2009-10, stabilising oil prices and a rally in global bonds.
June 28, 2009

Market’ll look to Budget for direction

The bond market will be hoping that heavy government bond supply will end this month and will start looking ahead to the budget for direction.
June 22, 2009

Yields may stabilise at higher levels

The yield curve shifted upwards on the back of the higher-than-expected (in yield terms) auction cut-off on the benchmark five-year government bond.
June 15, 2009

Markets, central banks, real economy playing risky ‘game’

The financial markets, governments, central banks and the real economy are playing a ‘game’ that could potentially be disastrous.
June 8, 2009

Shift of balance to decide yield moves

On the balance, market nervousness on supply and other external factors is placing upward pressure on bond yields while a healthy demand-supply equation is tempering the rise in yields.
June 8, 2009

Uncertainty will persist in bond mart

The current uncertainty facing bond markets is likely to persist in the near term, given the conflicting signals emanating from various factors.
June 1, 2009

Bond yields seen up as concerns rise

The market is faced with additional uncertainty on the fiscal and monetary front.
May 24, 2009

Uncertainty gone, yields may decline

The uncertainty premium built in bond yields will go away as political and macroeconomic factors favour lower bond yields.
May 17, 2009
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Analysis
  • Why a CRR+SLR hike will be in order
  • Short end of the curve comes under pressure
Reports
  • Yields to stabilise higher with a positive bias
  • Sentiment turning positive on demand
  • Needed: More investors for gilts
  • Govt borrowing negates RBI rate cuts
  • Gilts give best returns to date

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